He’s played below his scoring prop in five straight playoff games and is 2-7 O/U versus his projected points going back to Round 1. Jokic may not have the defensive chops of Davis, but he’s a master at drawing whistles and seeing his checks ushered to the bench with foul trouble, as he did to Suns center Deandre Ayon and T-Wolves big Karl-Anthony Towns.ĭavis’ previous scoring output has been below expectations as well. This 22.5-point total is the shortest points prop AD has been tabbed with all postseason and a few factors are working to whittle this number down from previous scoring Over/Unders highs of 25.5 points.įor one, the matchup. My number is a little more level, but ends up on the lower end of Davis’ scoring forecast at 23.75 points, which is still plenty to clear his modest point prop of 22.5 points (Over -115).
#Lakers vs nuggets point spread free
The Lakers give up only 43.2% shooting from the field and 34.4% from 3-point range in the playoffs, and Los Angeles is excellent when it comes to free throw margin.This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Los Angeles is perfect at home, winning all six postseason games, and the Lakers are out-scoring opponents by almost 18 points per 100 possessions. The Lakers have been even better at home, giving up only 0.98 points per possession at Arena during the playoffs. Los Angeles is allowing only 108.4 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, including only 1.06 points allowed per possession in Game 2 against Denver. The Lakers have the better defense in this matchup. Denver is also playing well on defense in recent days, giving up 110.9 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs and only 1.01 points per possession to Los Angeles in Game 2. That comes after a regular season in which the Nuggets posted top-five marks in offensive rating, field goal percentage, 2-point percentage, 3-point percentage, assists per game, fast break points and points in the paint during the regular season. Overall, Denver is utterly dynamic on offense, scoring almost 1.19 points per possession in the playoffs and 1.20 points per possession against the Lakers. He is averaging 34.0 points per game in the series, and Murray caught fire to lead Denver to a Game 2 win. Denver’s record is 37-18-1 against the spread and 44-12. Los Angeles is 34-18-1 against the spread and 36-17 overall when it scores more than 112.5 points. The Lakers score only 4.7 more points per game (117.2) than the Nuggets allow (112.5).
Jokic is the fulcrum for Denver's offensive attack, but Murray raises the team's ceiling. When Los Angeles allows fewer than 115.8 points, it is 27-14-1 against the spread and 28-14 overall. Jokic is averaging 30.4 points, 13.8 rebounds and 10.2 assists per game during the playoffs after a regular season in which he finished in the top three of the NBA in true shooting percentage, rebounds per game and assists per game during the regular season. Lakers:ĭenver is led by a prolific duo with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. Lakers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine. Lakers odds, down half a point from the opening line. The Los Angeles Lakers are favored by 3.5 points. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 223 in the latest Nuggets vs. Nuggets Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props Game 4. LeBron James (foot) and Anthony Davis (foot) are listed as probable for the Lakers, with Mo Bamba (ankle) ruled out.Ĭaesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as the 5.5-point favorite for this 8:30 p.m. The Nuggets enter with a clean injury report for the matchup. The Lakers are 6-0 at home in the 2023 NBA playoffs and aim to continue that trend.
#Lakers vs nuggets point spread series
The Los Angeles Lakers face an urgent situation, down 2-0 in the series to the Denver Nuggets. Game 3 of the 2023 NBA Western Conference Finals takes place at Arena on Saturday evening.
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